What are the Odds of Pulling the Logo Man card? Would you sell for 500K?
Half of a million dollars for a Zion card. Say that slowly, and let it sink in – 500,000 dollars for a single Zion card. Just when you thought the value of sports cards couldn’t get any higher in 2020, a card company has put out that massive bounty on a Zion Williamson rookie card from the 2019-20 Panini National Treasures set. Read about the odds of pulling the “LogoMan” Zion card and think about what you would do if this life-changing offer appeared in your hands.
The Zion LogoMan Card; What You’re Hunting For
Sports card values have increased exponentially during the Covid-19 pandemic, especially for big-name stars. Few current players in any sport have been drawing more attention than Pelicans rookie standout, Zion Williamson. Any rookie card of Zion will easily garner more interest than most any player on the market, and the high-end product of National Treasures that Panini is offering has one of the rarest, and now most valuable rookie card of them all: The LogoMan.
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In 2019-20 Panini National Treasures, one of the insert sets is a Rookie Patch Logoman. On each NBA jersey is a patch of the NBA Logo; that red, white, and blue silhouette of Jerry West. Panini took that patch from game-worn player jerseys, added the patch to a player card, and then had the player sign the patch card. The insert set where Zion resides has just 50 total cards made, with all 50 players netting just one single Logman card in the set. This means there is ONE and only ONE Zion Williamson autographed Logoman card in the entire set.
Who Offered the $500,000 Bounty and are they Serious?
Blowout Cards offered the bounty, and the company is VERY serious about the half-million dollar payout for the Zion Logoman card.
We spoke with Thomas Fish, one of the owners of Blowout.
Just Collect: Is it true you're offering a half of a million dollars for the logo man card?
Thomas Fish (Blowout Cards): YES it is crazy, but true.
JC: Is this the highest bounty you've ever put on a card?
Blowout: Yes, this is the highest bounty Blowout cards has ever placed on a single card!
After the reigning NBA MVP, Giannis Antetokounmpo, recently took to TikTok to show off his personal collection of cards that maybe…could be…might have actually supposed to have been inserted into products, and not kept by him, we asked if Zion himself may have kept the LogoMan card for himself. Could it be that we’re all on a wild goose chase?
JC: Do you think Zion would hold onto this card like Giannis has, but isn't leaking it?
Blowout: I’m not certain Zion is a collector but if he was this would be the card to have!!
JC: Where can the owner of THE LOGOMAN card reach out to you at for a potential sale?
Blowout: Wanted@blowoutcards.com
What are the Odds of Pulling the LogoMan?
Now that we know there is only a single Zion Logman card in the entire National Treasures set, (assuming Zion isn’t pulling a Giannis) what are the odds of finding the card in your box? We know what you’re thinking: For $500,000, couldn’t you just buy every unopened box and still profit? Not quite – not even close, actually.
The LogoMan, or “Rookie Patch Autographs” insert set is just one of 44 different “sets” in the entirety of the 2019-2020 National Treasures NBA set. The BASE set, the actual set of cards, then has an additional 43 types of insert cards available.
The base set, and subsequent inserts sets then have rarer versions, “parallels”, of the base and inserts. For example, the Rookie Patch Autographs we know has 50 different players. Each player has a Rookie Patch Autograph, limited to a total of 99 cards per player. The parallel cards in the Rookie Patch Autograph insert set are: Gold (10 cards made of each player), Emerald (5 cards made of each player), Stars & Stripes (30 cards made of each player), Stars & Stripes Blue (3 cards made of each player), and finally your LogoMan card that has just one card made of each player. The tally for the Rookie Patch Autograph is 7,400 different cards produced. ALL of these 7,400 cards make up just 1 of the 44 “sets” in the entire set of National Treasures basketball.
Here is a list of all 44 base and inserts produced:
Base | Penmanship |
All-NBA Materials | Personalized |
Apprentice Ink | Retro Materials |
Biography Materials | Rookie Autographs |
Century Materials | Rookie Dual Materials |
Clutch Factor Signatures | Rookie Jumbo Materials |
Colossal Material Autographs | Rookie Logoman |
Colossal Logoman | Rookie Materials |
Colossal Materials | Rookie Patch Autographs |
Colossal Rookie Materials | Rookie Patch Autographs Horizontal |
Definitive Ink | Rookie Triple Materials |
Game Gear | Signature Set |
Game Gear Autographs | Timeless Talents Signatures |
Jersey Treasures | Timeless Treasures Materials |
Lasting Legacies | Timeline Materials |
Logoman Autographs | Treasured Signatures |
Material Treasures | Treasured Tags |
National Archives Ink | Treasured Tags Autographs |
NBA Finals Nameplate | Treasured Threads |
NBA Greats Signatures | Treasures of the Hall Autographs |
NT Blockchain Redemption | Tremendous Treasures |
Peerless Signatures | Validating Marks |
Each of the 44 set types all have varying numbers of parallels, too. Another quirky example is The Colossal Material Autographs, which houses 44 different player cards in the set, with parallels of Prime, and Super Prime. However, Zach LaVine, Jaren Jackson Jr, Harrison Barnes, and Jalen Brunson do NOT have a Super Prime card, meaning there are only 40 Super Prime cards in the Colossal Material Autographs, not 44.
There are PRINTING PLATES inserted, too. Each card created requires a printing plate. A printing plate card is included in every single box, so these cards are included in determining the number of cards produced.
Fourteen of the 44 sets lists a number of cards made per player as 25 or less, so there a few unknowns when it comes to calculating exactly how many total cards have been produced. However, using the high-water mark of 25 for those 14 sets, we can get extremely close to a known grand total of cards available.
Using the full checklist via Cardboard Connection, we come to about 160,543 total cards!
Next, we’ll need to know how many cards are in each box:
Using the total of 160,543 cards and 10 cards per box, we’re right around 16,054 boxes produced.
THE ODDS OF YOUR BOX CONTAINING THE ZION LOGOMAN = 0.006 %.
With a retail value of $700 per box, you’re looking at $11,237,800 to buy every unopened box for your $500,000 LogoMan card. Since few, if any, boxes are available at retail price, the resale price of $4,500 per box really puts the total around $72,243,000 to buy all product. Not the best return on investment if you lose around 71 million dollars…
On the plus side, while you may not have stellar odds to pull the Zion LogoMan, there are 37 different Zion cards in the entire National Treasures set; plenty of cheaper (and still quite valuable) Zion rookie cards to be had! With 981 total Zions produced, plus the printing plates, you have good odds finding one; a thousand percent better chance than a Logo Man!
Would You Sell the LogoMan card?
Imagine if you had half of a million dollars sitting in your lap right now! That much money is impossible to turn down, isn’t it?! …or is it? Would YOU sell the Zion LogoMan card to Blowout Cards if you pulled the card?
While it sounds absurd not to, in May of 2018, the 2009 Bowman Chrome Draft Mike Trout SuperFractor 1/1 autograph sold for $400,000. Nearly a year later, that same card sold for $900,000.
Would be hard to hold onto half a million for a year in a gamble that you could cash in for a full million bucks later, right? Zion isn’t quite Mike Trout level yet; the star has only played in just 19 NBA games. Collectors may not realize how little Zion has actually been on the court! We wish Zion all the best and hope he has a Hall of Fame career, but maybe Zion busts – and you’re stuck with a $50 card rather than a $500,000 card!
Tell us – would you sell the LogoMan? Post right here on our site, or on our Facebook page!
Looking to sell? WE ARE BUYING!
You may not have pulled the Zion Logo Man card, but perhaps you have boxes of National Treasure you don’t want to open, some other Zion cards such as Prizm, or maybe vintage cards like the 1969-70 Topps Tall Boys – we are always buying collections!
Fill out our FREE appraisal form and tell us a little bit about your collection. You can also call our office at (732) 828-2261, or reach out any time at info@justcollec.com.
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Perhaps you want to sell you collection to us, and then upgrade your cards or switch gears by starting a different sport. We have a ton of amazing cards up on our eBay stores – one for GRADED and one for UNGRADED.